Sunk Cost Fallacy

The Sunk Cost Fallacy (also known as loss-aversion bias or Escalation of Commitment) is the throwing of good money (or effort) after bad to avoid facing up to a loss. In more formal terms, it results when the disutility of giving up an object is greater than the utility associated with acquiring it.[1]

The decision to invest additional resources in a losing account, when better investments are available, is known as the sunk-cost fallacy, a costly mistake that is observed in decisions large and small.

The sunk-cost fallacy keeps people for too long in poor jobs, unhappy marriages, and unpromising research projects. I have often observed young scientists struggling to salvage a doomed project when they would be better advised to drop it and start a new one. Fortunately, research suggests that at least in some contexts the fallacy can be overcome. The sunk-cost fallacy is identified and taught as a mistake in both economics and business courses, apparently to good effect: there is evidence that graduate students in these fields are more willing than others to walk away from a failing project.[2]


#cognition #bias

See also:


  1. Exponential Organizations – Ismail, et al. (2014) ↩︎

  2. Thinking, Fast and Slow – Kahneman (2013), ch. 32, § “Mental Accounts” ↩︎