How Big Things Get Done – Flyvbjerg and Gardner (2023)

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title: How Big Things Get Done: The Surprising Factors That Determine the Fate of Every Project, from Home Renovations to Space Exploration and Everything In Between
authors: Bent Flyvbjerg, Dan Gardner
year: 2023
publisher: Crown Currency
URL:

File	Links
Planning fallacy confuses “best-guess” with “best-case” scenario	13
Planning is an active, iterative, learning process	10
Thinking from right to left begins with the goal	10
Think slow, act fast is the secret of success	9
Successful projects develop a clear, informed understanding of the goal	8
Reference-class forecasting avoids uniqueness bias	7
Unchecked optimism leads to project failure	7
Bias for action can mask a bias against thinking	5
Modularity radically reduces risk	5
Survivorship bias focuses only on successful examples	5
Scale-free patterns are fractal	3
The best plans maximize experience and experimentation	3
When facing potentially extreme outcomes, forecast risk	3