Size Instinct hinders thinking by considering a number without context
from Factfulness:
Factfulness is … recognizing when a lonely number seems impressive (small or large), and remembering that you could get the opposite impression if it were compared with or divided by some other relevant number.
To control the size instinct, get things in proportion.
-
Compare. Big numbers always look big. Single numbers on their own are misleading and should make you suspicious. Always look for comparisons. Ideally, divide by something.
-
80/20. Have you been given a long list? Look for the few largest items and deal with those first. They are quite likely more important than all the others put together.
-
Divide. Amounts and rates can tell very different stories. Rates are more meaningful, especially when comparing between different-sized groups. In particular, look for rates per person when comparing between countries or regions.
See also:
Others in this series:
- Gap Instinct hinders thinking by ignoring the middle majority
- Negativity Instinct hinders thinking by emphasizing bad news
- Straight Line Instinct hinders thinking by assuming trends will continue
- Fear Instinct hinders thinking by confusing risk with fear
- Size Instinct hinders thinking by considering a number without context
- Generalization Instinct hinders thinking by using misleading categories
- Destiny Instinct hinders thinking by forgetting that small changes add up
- Single Perspective Instinct hinders thinking by having only a hammer
- Blame Instinct hinders thinking by pointing fingers
- Urgency Instinct hinders thinking by exaggerating a decision's urgency